2025 Economic and Market Outlook
With strong consumer spending and a new administration, 2025 brings both opportunity and uncertainty. How will shifting markets and global tensions impact portfolios? Listen in as our experts explore what’s shaping the year ahead.
Dig Into More Insights for 2025
Staying ahead means staying informed. Our expert commentary explores the trends shaping the economy and markets:
U.S. Economy: Strong consumer spending and the transformative impact of AI on business operations.
Equity Markets: Tech-driven innovation, opportunities beyond mega-caps, and the global hunt for hidden gems.
Fixed Income: Sweet spots in U.S. Treasury yields and navigating risks in high-yield corporate bonds.
Politics & Geopolitical Risks: Policy shifts, tariff changes, and global tensions shaping the investment horizon.
Access the insights you need to help guide your clients through 2025 with confidence.
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Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. All indices are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment by the public. Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Bonds are subject to availability and market conditions; some have call features that may affect income. Bond prices and yields are inversely related: when the price goes up, the yield goes down, and vice versa. Market risk is a consideration if sold or redeemed before maturity.
The S&P 500 is based on the average performance of the 500 industrial stocks monitored by Standard & Poor’s. The MSCI EAFE Index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of companies representative of the market structure of 26 emerging market countries in Europe, Latin America, and the Pacific Basin. It excludes closed markets and those shares in otherwise free markets that are not purchasable by foreigners. The MSCI ACWI ex USA is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed and emerging markets. It does not include the United States. The ICE BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Index tracks the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated below investment-grade corporate debt publicly issued in the U.S. domestic market. The Bloomberg US Corporate Bond Index measures the investment-grade, fixed-rate, taxable corporate bond market. It includes U.S. dollar-denominated securities publicly issued by U.S. and non-U.S. industrial, utility, and financial issuers. The Bloomberg U.S. Municipal Bond Index is a flagship measure of the U.S. municipal tax-exempt investment-grade bond market. It includes general obligation and revenue bonds, which both can be pre-refunded years later and get reclassified as such.
The Magnificent 7 (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla) are a group of seven companies commonly recognized for their market dominance, technological impact, and changes to consumer behavior and economic trends.
The risk-free rate is the interest rate an investor can expect to earn on a theoretical investment that carries zero risk. In practice, the risk-free rate is commonly considered to be equal to the interest paid on a 10-year highly rated government Treasury note, generally the safest investment an investor can make. Treasury bills are guaranteed by the U.S. government as to the timely payment of principal and interest, and, if held to maturity, they offer a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value. U.S. Treasury bills do not eliminate market risk.
Investments are subject to risk, including the loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This material is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product.